Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 6.194133 7.229062 8.349170 9.647343 11.106081 12.690198 14.536044
2026-01-11 4.748304 6.111480 7.702446 9.679998 12.054575 14.796060 18.181135
2026-01-18 3.734002 5.199866 7.015899 9.398070 12.404211 16.033587 20.704451
2026-01-25 3.041402 4.539811 6.494943 9.179517 12.710072 17.130850 23.012195
2026-02-01 2.505290 3.990001 6.022058 8.929843 12.896531 18.023898 25.042779
2026-02-08 2.089505 3.539573 5.615359 8.701014 13.052502 18.839512 26.963636
2026-02-15 1.737876 3.128579 5.208381 8.414768 13.080285 19.451195 28.604802
2026-02-22 1.535834 2.917448 5.064057 8.478683 13.580689 20.703589 31.136207
2026-03-01 1.357546 2.718269 4.912178 8.508069 14.017098 21.868970 33.575821
2026-03-08 1.213207 2.555416 4.797033 8.575703 14.500624 23.107097 36.148708
2026-03-15 1.077189 2.387507 4.653950 8.581289 14.879688 24.197405 38.537161
2026-03-22 0.998805 2.314554 4.660483 8.822487 15.625692 25.845687 41.778328
2026-03-29 0.913616 2.218919 4.621150 8.988014 16.266624 27.372252 44.912444
2026-04-05 0.818896 2.090646 4.510467 9.021984 16.694142 28.587758 47.622376
2026-04-12 0.697459 1.887461 4.240570 8.755959 16.610388 29.004788 49.134080
2026-04-19 0.599662 1.718886 4.016655 8.549722 16.606385 29.534638 50.821481
2026-04-26 0.511926 1.557574 3.788363 8.314179 16.532733 29.941448 52.320100
2026-05-03 0.437857 1.414998 3.581089 8.098364 16.474926 30.362252 53.842597
2026-05-10 0.369206 1.272253 3.356361 7.828483 16.301193 30.578733 55.037671
2026-05-17 0.334645 1.212723 3.303427 7.888735 16.718312 31.780796 57.839018
2026-05-24 0.301394 1.150451 3.237412 7.916440 17.074268 32.888365 60.514000
2026-05-31 0.273933 1.099491 3.191378 7.980205 17.497148 34.119382 63.419975
2026-06-07 0.245780 1.040653 3.120293 7.985472 17.807814 35.164975 66.044573